It’s worth noting that Russia has largely dismantled Ukrainian power grid at this point. However, it very much looks like Russia is focusing on destroying the army itself first and foremost. I agree that it is absolutely illogical for the west to prolong the war at this point as it’s becoming clear that Russia has won, and that the economic blow back for the west is worse than it is for Russia. The west is falling for the sunk cost fallacy here.
I think it’s becoming quite clear that destruction of Europe’s economy was an objective of the war. The US was becoming increasingly worried about Europe’s integration with the east. Europe was benefiting from Russian energy and Chinese manufacturing, while Russia and China provided large markets for Europeans goods. If things kept going the way they were then the US would eventually lose political grip over Europe. Now Europe has become entirely dependent on the US, and as its economy unravels it will become a new cheap labor market going forward.
I do not believe much in long term plans. It feels like America is simply going through the motions and people adapt as they go along.
A great example was Isreal trying to expell all Palestinians into Egypt but that did not work out and now Israel is stuck in genocide limbo.
But Syria they saw Assad fall and quickly adapted to steal a lot of land. Likely not planned but simply opportunistic. Everyone adjusts their plans along the way and the end result is what it becomes of it.
I don’t think this is a really sophisticated plan to be honest. The US openly expressed displeasure about Nord Stream, and Biden openly said he’d put and end to it which he did. Starting a war with Russia and using it to whip up bloc discipline in the west is really just dusting off the Cold War narrative. It’s just a return to the status quo.
Things in West Asia are indeed a lot more dynamic, and I do think there’s a lot of opportunism going on right now. That said, it does seem like Turkey and Israel planned and coordinated their attack on Syria. Notice how their proxies aren’t fighting each other, and they’re both grabbing territory without stepping on each other’s toes.
It’s worth noting that Russia has largely dismantled Ukrainian power grid at this point. However, it very much looks like Russia is focusing on destroying the army itself first and foremost. I agree that it is absolutely illogical for the west to prolong the war at this point as it’s becoming clear that Russia has won, and that the economic blow back for the west is worse than it is for Russia. The west is falling for the sunk cost fallacy here.
One twist is Ukraine is being used to get Europe to fund the American military industrial complex big time.
I think it’s becoming quite clear that destruction of Europe’s economy was an objective of the war. The US was becoming increasingly worried about Europe’s integration with the east. Europe was benefiting from Russian energy and Chinese manufacturing, while Russia and China provided large markets for Europeans goods. If things kept going the way they were then the US would eventually lose political grip over Europe. Now Europe has become entirely dependent on the US, and as its economy unravels it will become a new cheap labor market going forward.
I do not believe much in long term plans. It feels like America is simply going through the motions and people adapt as they go along.
A great example was Isreal trying to expell all Palestinians into Egypt but that did not work out and now Israel is stuck in genocide limbo.
But Syria they saw Assad fall and quickly adapted to steal a lot of land. Likely not planned but simply opportunistic. Everyone adjusts their plans along the way and the end result is what it becomes of it.
I don’t think this is a really sophisticated plan to be honest. The US openly expressed displeasure about Nord Stream, and Biden openly said he’d put and end to it which he did. Starting a war with Russia and using it to whip up bloc discipline in the west is really just dusting off the Cold War narrative. It’s just a return to the status quo.
Things in West Asia are indeed a lot more dynamic, and I do think there’s a lot of opportunism going on right now. That said, it does seem like Turkey and Israel planned and coordinated their attack on Syria. Notice how their proxies aren’t fighting each other, and they’re both grabbing territory without stepping on each other’s toes.
Yup, it’s absolutely clear looking at the completely nonsensical fearmongering “Putin will conquer entire Europe” which was up day one of the war.
One twist is Ukraine is being used to get Europe to fund the American military industrial complex big time.