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Cake day: June 13th, 2023

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  • My personal predictions:

    Reddit will continue to exist, but become an increasingly zombified dumping ground for screenshots from other platforms, videos of people being injured/humiliated in public, and lowest-common-denominator “discussion” of culture war topics. It may also to continue supporting small niche communities like r/HVACadvice where you can get a quick answer about something specific from a domain expert, but will largely just become a firehose of diarrhea.

    Large Lemmy instances like lemmy.world will pick up the slack for the mostly good-natured people turned off by the advertising and shitshow at reddit and other corpo social medias. It’ll be better than current reddit, but increasingly enlightenened centrist, and importing braindead redditisms (shit like “and my axe” etc.)

    Smaller Lemmy instances that care more about the kindness and quality of discussion will pour more grassroots efforts into strict moderation, and defederating from mainstream instances. They will tradeoff a wider userbase for a more kind and nurturing atmosphere.



  • BarackObama@lemmy.worldOPtoFediverse@lemmy.worldThe Federation Fallacy
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    1 year ago

    They clearly don’t think that, since right after they said:

    Of course, due to substantial inequality between instance size, we expect to see a power distribution, with a spike on the left that quickly falls and tapers out. Power laws govern much of the real world; many phenomena behave according to this unequal distribution.

    But look at that graph. Calling this distribution a power law would be generous to say the least. There is a massive spike corresponding to just a few instances, and the rest of the graph is nearly invisible to the naked eye, so tiny and so overshadowed by just a few giants. Frankly, this distribution is closer to the Dirac delta function than a power law.

    All of your comments in this thread seem to have been a strong defence against perceived criticisms of the Fediverse, when the article isn’t so much criticizing it as it’s proposing that it needs additional safeguards (besides decentralization) to ensure it remains aligned with users’ interests:

    These are really disingenuous and uncharitable ways to read the article. I’m sure the author has a perfectly good understanding of the concept of Federation, as they detailed several examples, and they have a lot of experience in highly technical computer science work.